Daily News 23 12 2024

Important News of the Day

Time Important Country Event Forecast Previous Actual
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) Business Investment (QoQ) (Q3) 1.2% 1.8% 1.9%
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) Current Account (Q3) -22.9B -24.0B -18.1B
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
10:00 United Kingdom (GBP) GDP (YoY) (Q3) 1.0% 0.7% 0.9%
16:30 Canada (CAD) GDP (MoM) (Oct) 0.2% 0.3%
16:30 Canada (CAD) GDP (MoM) (Oct) 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
16:30 Canada (CAD) RMPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.4% 4.0% -0.5%
16:30 United States (USD) Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov) 0.8% -1.1%
16:30 United States (USD) Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Nov) 0.2% -0.1%
18:00 United States (USD) CB Consumer Confidence (Dec) 112.9 112.8 104.7
18:00 United States (USD) New Home Sales (Nov) 627K 664K
18:00 United States (USD) New Home Sales (MoM) (Nov) -14.8% 5.9%
21:00 United States (USD) 2-Year Note Auction 4.274%

Walmart and Fintech Partner Accused of Opening Costly Accounts Without Drivers' Consent

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Investing.com -- A U.S. consumer protection agency has accused Walmart Inc. and financial technology partner Branch Messenger Inc. of opening costly bank accounts without approval for delivery drivers. The allegations were raised on Monday by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). According to the CFPB, Walmart and Branch Messenger required delivery drivers to receive their payments through these expensive accounts. As a result of these claims, the consumer protection agency filed a lawsuit against both companies in the U.S. District Court for the District of Minnesota. CFPB Director Rohit Chopra stated that Walmart made false promises, unlawfully opened accounts, and exploited more than one million delivery drivers. At the time the news was published, neither Walmart nor Branch Messenger had responded to the allegations or requests for comment.

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Suspect in UnitedHealth CEO's Murder Claims Innocence, Faces Life Sentence

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Investing.com -- The suspect in the murder of UnitedHealth Group CEO Brian Thompson, Luigi Mangione, pleaded not guilty to murder charges in New York State on Monday. Among the charges is a count describing him as a terrorist.

The 26-year-old Mangione was brought into the courtroom on the 13th floor of the New York State Supreme Court in lower Manhattan with two court officers and followed by about half a dozen other officers. Handcuffed and shackled, Mangione wore a maroon sweater over a white collared shirt.

When asked how he responded to the 11-count indictment, including three counts of murder, Mangione leaned into the microphone and said "not guilty." If found guilty, he could face life in prison without the possibility of parole.

This was Mangione's second court appearance in New York following his arrest at a McDonald's restaurant in Altoona, Pennsylvania. He was captured five days after the murder of Thompson, which occurred outside a hotel in midtown Manhattan hosting his company's investor conference on April 12, 2024.

In addition to the state charges, Mangione is also facing a four-count federal indictment accusing him of stalking and killing Thompson. He has not yet responded to those charges. U.S. Magistrate Judge Katharine Parker ordered Mangione to remain detained regarding these charges at a hearing set for December 19, 2024.

During Mangione's court appearance, more than twenty people were present in the spectator section of the courtroom.

BBVA Gets the Green Light for Sabadell Unit Deal in Mexico

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BBVA announced on Monday that it has received approval from Mexico's competition authority Cofece to take indirect control of the shares of Sabadell's Mexican units. This authorization is a critical step in the Spanish banking giant's efforts to acquire Sabadell, which has been characterized as a hostile takeover bid.

BBVA is seeking various regulatory approvals to advance its offer for Sabadell in Mexico, which it views as its primary market and is responsible for nearly half of its profits. The Mexican authority's decision reflected a belief that the transaction is unlikely to significantly affect "competitive processes and free economic activity."

The approval from Cofece signifies progress for BBVA in a process closely scrutinized by regulatory bodies. In Spain, the initial bid amount of 12.28 billion euros ($13 billion) that BBVA proposed for Sabadell has come under a longer antitrust review by the country's competition authority, as announced last month.

Mark Cuban Critiques Meme Coins, Citing the Decline of HAWK Coin

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Billionaire entrepreneur Mark Cuban expressed his skeptical stance towards meme coins during a YouTube interview on Monday, highlighting the risks associated with such volatile digital assets. Known for his technology investments and as the owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, Cuban underscored the inherent instability of these cryptocurrencies.

Cuban's comments came in the wake of the dramatic rise and fall of the HAWK coin, which was a meme cryptocurrency that approached a market value of $500 million before dropping by $28 million in a single day. This coin was associated with 22-year-old Haliey Welch, who went viral through a street interview and earned the nickname "hawk-tuah."

DEX Screener, a platform that tracks token data, confirmed the sharp fluctuations in HAWK's value. While sharing his thoughts on the situation, Cuban expressed sympathy for Welch, acknowledging that she might not fully comprehend the situation but was influenced by those around her.

"I am not a fan of meme coins," Cuban stated, criticizing the speculative nature of such investments. He likened trading meme coins to a "musical chairs game with money," where the outcome is uncertain, and not everyone can profit.

Despite the negative outcome for HAWK, Cuban noted that he held no ill will towards Welch. He acknowledged the difficult situation he found himself in and expressed his belief that he would overcome this experience, concluding with, "what’s done is done."

Lego's Growth Balances Annual Sales Decline in the Toy Sector

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Investing.com -- The toy industry is facing declining sales for the second consecutive year, while Lego's success paints a hopeful picture. Many toy companies are struggling to maintain the sales growth seen during the pandemic, while the Denmark-based firm Lego is experiencing rapid growth. The company's revenue increased by 13% in the first half of the year, allowing it to gain market share.

Eric Handler, managing director of Roth MKM, noted that Lego's success has driven the industry's growth this year. Having come close to bankruptcy in the early 2000s, Lego transformed its business and diversified its customer base. This strategy has enabled it to increase sales even in inflationary market conditions. The company has reported positive annual revenue growth for the past six years.

Lego's growth strategy includes elements such as licensing agreements, targeting both adults and children, expanding into digital gaming, collaborating with studios and publishing services to provide Lego content, and setting up production facilities near distribution centers to optimize its supply chain.

The company's successful products include emphasized "passion points" or kits appealing to a broad consumer range. Among these are fans of franchises like Star Wars and Harry Potter, car enthusiasts, and animal lovers.

James Zahn, editor-in-chief of The Toy Book, praised Lego's ability to challenge industry trends. According to Zahn, when other companies struggle, Lego often succeeds. He attributed Lego's agility during inflationary periods, disruptions in the entertainment sector, and potential tariff increases to its ability to stay “ahead of the curve.” Zahn stated that Lego appears to be two to three steps ahead of its competitors.

DAXEUR

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

The DAXEUR pair may exhibit a calm trend as the new year approaches following the decisions of global central banks. Due to the Christmas holidays in Europe and the USA, it might be a low-volume week in the markets. Growth data from the UK and Canada, as well as data from the US such as durable goods orders, new home sales, and unemployment claims, are expected to be announced. However, due to the holiday season psychology, the impact of these data on the markets may remain limited.

From a technical perspective, the DAX40 index is trading below the resistance zone of 20095 - 20280. Remaining below the 50 and 100 period moving averages indicates that the index is trying to align with a negative expectation. In downward movements, the 20000 and 19900 levels can be monitored as support, with 19800 standing out as the main support zone. The RSI indicator is around 40 levels and shows a negative outlook. For the index to return to a positive trend, it needs to make sustained movements above the averages; in such a case, the 20650 level might come into play again. The index is displaying a horizontal trend, with a 0.05% decrease compared to the previous day.

NGCUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

US natural gas futures are maintaining an upward trend due to increasing global demand expectations and risks to Europe's energy supply from Russia. Trump's warnings for increased natural gas and oil purchases from Europe also support prices. Additionally, the PCE inflation in the US falling below forecasts puts pressure on the dollar while increasing interest in commodities like natural gas. The trend in European and US stocks should be monitored throughout the day.

Technically, as long as the NGCUSD pair manages to stay above the 3.400 – 3.430 support levels, the possibility of an upward movement persists. Holding above these levels could target the 3.535 and 3.580 resistance levels. However, in the event of a potential decline, breaking the 3.400 – 3.430 support could bring the 3.370 and 3.330 levels into focus. The RSI indicator is displaying a positive outlook, supporting a possible rise. It is observed that there is strong upward momentum in the pair with a 3.44% increase compared to the previous close.

BRNUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

Brent crude gained positive momentum after the PCE inflation data in the US fell below expectations, supporting the probability of a rate cut in the Fed's March meeting. This situation gave an upward momentum to oil prices. Additionally, statements by Trump suggesting that Europe needs to buy large amounts of oil and natural gas to maintain trade balances are also putting upward pressure on prices. Movements in European and US stock exchanges continue to be an important indicator for the course of oil prices.

From a technical perspective, Brent is maintaining an upward outlook by holding above the support levels of 72.75 and 72.40. As long as it stays above these levels, the resistance levels of 73.30 and 74 can be targeted. As shown in the chart, the RSI indicator is just below the 50 level and exhibits a neutral trend. If it falls below the 72.40 level, the 72 and 71.50 levels can be monitored as support, respectively. Oil prices show an increase of 0.52% compared to the previous day.

NDXUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

The NDX/USD pair is entering a period in December where lower trading volumes are expected in the markets due to the Christmas holiday. However, growth data from the UK and Canada, along with key data from the US such as durable goods orders and unemployment claims, could create volatility in the markets during this period. With Asian markets starting the week positively and US PCE inflation falling below expectations, a generally optimistic atmosphere prevailed, leading to positive closings in US indices. However, the attention is drawn to the fact that US index futures started the week with losses. This scenario, combined with global economic data, may influence the direction of the indices.

Technically, as long as the NASDAQ 100 index stays above 21600, it seems to have the potential to continue its upward trend. Staying above the 21 and 89-period moving averages indicates that the index could move towards resistance levels of 21800, 21900, and 22000. However, if movements below these levels are observed, pullbacks towards support levels of 21500 and 21400 may be possible. The RSI indicator is at the level of 192.1 and presents a positive outlook. It is also important to note that the index gained 0.90% in value compared to the previous day. This situation could indicate the continuation of a possible upward trend.

USDTRY

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

The USD/TRY pair is moving with the effect of the Christmas holiday in global markets and the anticipation of the CBRT's Monetary Policy Decisions. The Dollar/TL may exhibit TL-based partial mobility in line with the CBRT's interest rate decision and the messages it will deliver for the future. Looking at the performance of developing country currencies against the US Dollar, we see that the Turkish Lira has a neutral stance. The pair is trading near the level of 35.19 and may remain at these levels due to developments in the domestic market.

Technically, USD/TRY is trading above the 34.98 support level on the 4-hour chart, and staying above this level may allow for the continuation of upward movement. In upward movements, resistance levels at 35.21, 35.28, and 35.33 should be monitored. If the pair stays permanently above the 35.33 level, it could strengthen its current trend-oriented movement. The RSI indicator is at the 48 level, displaying a neutral outlook. Considering a 0.12% decline compared to the previous day, the pair may show a tendency to consolidate in the 34.98 – 35.33 range.

XAUUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

The fact that the PCE inflation announced in the US was below expectations led to a weakening in the dollar index, which supported the recovery efforts of gold. The positive start of the Asian markets and the increase in consumer confidence in the US, painting an optimistic picture, are boosting risk appetite in global markets. Additionally, finding a temporary solution to the debt ceiling issue in the US is also reflecting positively on the markets. However, the release of CB consumer confidence data and the course of European and US stock exchanges could affect the direction of gold.

Technically, as long as the XAU/USD pair remains below the resistance levels of 2633.00 – 2640.00, there seems to be an impression of ongoing downward pressure. In intraday declines, the levels of 2612.00 and 2605.00 can be monitored as support. The chart is being monitored on an hourly timeframe, with the RSI indicator at level 53, showing a neutral outlook. The pair has risen by 0.22% compared to the previous day. For an increase in upward potential, pricing above the 2640.00 level and hourly closings are important. In this scenario, the levels of 2650.00 and 2660.00 could emerge as resistance.

WTIUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

Oil futures began to show an upward trend following the PCE inflation data released on Friday, which supported the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Fed at its March meeting. Additionally, Trump's warning that Europe needs to purchase large-scale oil and natural gas from the US to balance trade with America also contributed to this rise. It is noted that the course of European and US stock markets may also impact oil pricing.

In the WTIUSD chart, as long as prices remain above the 69.70 support, the upward movement continues. The resistance levels of 70.00 and 70.50 are closely monitored during the rises. However, in a decline scenario, closures below the 69.40 support might bring the levels of 69.00 and 68.50 into focus. The RSI indicator is at the level of 56, displaying a neutral outlook. Currently, there is a daily decrease of 0.65% in WTIUSD.

EURUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

The EUR/USD pair is trading in a period expected to be calm, as global markets experience a slower week due to the Christmas holiday. The release of significant economic data, especially from Europe and the US, may influence the pair's volatility. A holiday mood and dormancy are anticipated in the markets following the interest rate decisions by the ECB, Fed, BoE, and BoJ. However, growth data from the UK and Canada, along with durable goods orders and unemployment claims from the US, could potentially create movement in the pair. The weakening trend observed in the dollar index may support potential rises in the EUR/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is trading close to the 1.048 resistance level on the daily chart. If the pair surpasses this level, movement towards the 1.0545 level might be observed. On the downside, the 1.0385 and 1.033 support levels are significant. Notably, the 1.033 support level is being monitored as a critical level. The RSI indicator is currently in a neutral position at the 49 level, indicating an indecisive course for the pair. It is noted that the pair registered a 0.12% decrease compared to the previous day. In light of this data, it is considered that the EUR/USD pair may experience fluctuations between the specified support and resistance levels in the short term.

GBPUSD

Daily Newsletter
23 Dec 2024 10:30

We are entering a week expected to be calm in the markets due to the Christmas holiday. Economic indicators such as the upcoming growth data from the UK and durable goods orders from the US could impact price movements. However, it should be noted that such data might have a limited effect on traders due to the Christmas holiday mindset. As the weak response and strong trend theme continue on the Dollar Index, this situation might also influence the movements of the GBP/USD pair.

Looking at the chart, we can say that the GBP/USD pair is trading in a 1-hour time frame. The pair continues to trade below the strong resistance level of 1.2610, and the current negative trend may persist as long as there is no sustained move above this resistance level. Levels of 1.2565, 1.2525, and 1.2485 are being monitored as support. The RSI indicator is at 45, and the market exhibits a slightly negative outlook. If the pressure on the pair continues, testing the 1.2485 level could be an important indicator of whether the current trend will continue. The pair has experienced a 0.09% decline compared to the previous day.